Thursday, November 29, 2012

SNAP, Corey Booker, and ETHANOL

November 29, 2012

Corey Booker, the very admirable mayor of Newark, NJ has accepted a challenge to live for a week on a prorated SNAP allowance for a fairly large family. The allowance he intends to use is $1.40/meal. (SNAP used to be called Food Stamps.)

I say a fairly large family because the SNAP allowance for a family of four is $668/Month. At ninety meals per person per month, 360 meals for a family of four, that works out to $1.85 per meal. The allowance per person drops as the number of people in the household increases. The plan assumes some efficiency of scale. His plan for $1.40 per meal would be for a family of six or eight. I won't do the math.

It won't be enough money. But not just for the reasons you might think of right away. The world price of corn has gone up 25% because 40% of the US corn crop goes to ethanol so the United States can have "greener(1)" fuel for cars. Beef farming, as it is done today, depends on corn for getting to market weight in a hurry (a crappy poisonous diet for a perfectly decent animal). Beef prices are out of sight. I have no idea what the impact of corn prices are on other foods.

The SNAP allowance has not been adjusted to reflect the rapid climb in corn prices because the US Government has not passed a budget in three years. The House passes a budget each year but the Senate does not enact it or amend it. At the last possible moment both houses agree to pass continuing resolutions.

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Want to know how to feed a family on $1.85 per meal, cooked at home, and meet USDA guidelines for nutrition? Look no further...

http://www.cnpp.usda.gov/usdafoodplanscostoffood.htm
FoodPlansRecipeBook.pdf

The recipes meet all USDA dietary guidelines. The SNAP plan is intended to cover the price of basic, cook at home foods necessary to meet those guidelines. The plan is developed by food scientists at Penn State.

The are some force multipliers for the SNAP allowance. No deductions are made from the SNAP allowance for USDA free breakfasts and lunches at schools (20 to 40 meals per school age child).  SNAP is not reduced for recipients of  WIC allowances. WIC is a program solely for mothers and infants from pregnancy thru age 2ish. The WIC allowance is solely for protein/dairy foods necessary for early childhood development.

Just for drill I intend to see if the recipes in the USDA booklet above make for a decent diet. Maybe during Lent?

(1) "Greener" is in quote marks because by most estimates it takes more energy to make a gallon of ethanol from corn than you get from burning it.




Tuesday, November 27, 2012

The Fiscal Clifffff OmMiGodOhMIGodOhMiGod

Creskin Predicts....(Or is that copyrighted?)

No solution. The House and Senate will agree to extend the deadline until after the new congress is seated. Much acrimony and great gnashing of teeth, but no action. Maybe some action on the debt ceiling but even without an extension the US Treasury will act by executive order to increase the debt to cover legislative obligations.

Legal arguments to exceed the debt ceiling will point out contradictory legislation; Nixon era laws that obliges the Executive Branch to spend the money budgeted by congress and prohibiting executive sequestration, the other that prohibits the Secretary of the Treasury from borrowing money beyond the debt ceiling without congressional approval. In other words, The President has to spend the money as laid out in budget legislation but may not borrow money to do it. Bad legislation, bad policy.

The United States Government has been operating on Continuing Resolutions for almost three years. This nominally violates several laws but in common law the legislature cannot be bound by its own laws.

Why has this occured? Because the House of Representatives was also elected. Not just the President. The House is the only source of legislation empowered to create legislation to raise revenue.

Update Nov 29
http://www.politico.com/story/2012/11/timothy-geithner-end-debt-ceiling-for-good-84428.html


Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Three Rows Ought To Be Enough...

One of these generals in the photos below directed the invasions of North Africa, Sicily, Salerno, Anzio, Normandy, and Southern France, liberated western Europe, and accepted the surrenders of Italy, Germany and the Axis powers. The other is a modern four star general.

Can you tell the difference by the rows of medals? If one row of ribbons was enough for Eisenhower then three rows of ribbons and two badges ought to be more than enough for a modern officer. Serious men and women should not dress like the chorus of a Junior College production of The Student Prince.


I wrote this on the 13th. I see now I was late to the party. Andrew Sullivan of the Daily Beast and Peggy Noonan commented on the same thing, only better.

Since I got out of the Navy in the early 70's I noticed the crapification of all military uniforms. Device after device was added for recognition and morale. The Navy was getting bad but the Army and Air Force seemed to be the worst.

The crapification seemed to come from "achievement/service/good job" medals. Where the Legion of Merit was the recognition of a successful career in all assignments, the various achievement medals are so prolific now they only say "She worked here for a while and we didn't have to fire her." As achievment medals grew, medals like the air medal got pushed further and further down the orders of precedence.

There are 32 colonels on active duty for every brigadier general by my estimation. The first star is a huge jump and getting it should carry all the recognition a fellow or gal would need. Getting four stars ought to speak volumes about competence and excellence.


General Petraeus, thank you. You have been seriously injured twice in the line of duty. You went to scary places and got shot at because we asked you to go.You jump from airplanes and eat snakes in the jungle. You uprooted your family 29 times because we asked you to move. You successfully lead shooting engagements and fought to redesign the way we fight insurgencies. We are a safer people now because you, and thousands of others like you,  served when we called. You earned every honor and recognition that has been awarded to you. But frankly your uniform, and those of your peers in the USAF and the USN, make you all look like Soviet Colonels at a May Day Parade. Or is that the look you were going for?

Sunday, August 19, 2012

This Year Christmas in Havanna! or Teheran!

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/08/13/leftist_planet?page=full

One wonders about the romance of foreign travel.
Italy, timely trains!
Germany well ordered and clean!The People's Tour Guides Recommend ....
Cuba literacy and medicine for everyone!


Saturday, August 11, 2012

$714 K per Unemployed Person Since 2008


Since 2008 the deficit has increased by $10 Trillion Dollars. The number of unemployed people in the country has averaged a bit under 14M every month. If the increase in the deficit had just been parsed out and given as checks to the unemployed they would have rec'd $714,000 each over four years or $14,875 per month per person. That would make quite a dent in a recovery. Call me a tightwad but $4,000 per person per month would still be a heck of a dent.

My argument with the current administration has nothing to do with the intentions of the incumbents, every goal they have is worthy (well almost every goal -- screwing the pension funds and non-UAW unions on GM/Chrysler bankruptcy was a crime.)

I don't understand why the execution is so expensive and ineffective.

Friday, August 3, 2012

Henry Liu, Guns, Portland State University and Aurora

Now that we know what happened at Aurora we can easily agree that the Aurora killer "could have been predicted" and we should have done something. Hindsight accuracy is flawless.

If we examine and act on the same or similar trigger events in other instances we get a case like Henry Liu, a Portland Oregon graduate student who ended up in a psych ward for six days and was expelled from school.

Henry was pissed off at a professor, mouthed off like a suburban gangster in front of a witness, and went home to sulk. The witness talked to someone who talked to someone who called the police. The police went to Henry's home and he invited them in. They found guns. He went to the police station and then to a psych eval in a locked ward.

The original witness is anonymous and her name is never offered by the press that covers the story. Henry, by the way, is lawyered up now.

Articles below ...
From the Portland Oregonian, a pretty straight forward review of the case. Disturbing enough on its own.
http://www.oregonlive.com/portland/index.ssf/2012/07/was_portland_state_right_in_ex.html

The Skanner article below makes pointed remarks about the credibility of the still anonymous witness.
http://theskanner.com/article/Henry-Liu-Arrested-Locked-in-a-Mental-Ward-Discredited---On-the-Word-of-One-Accuser-2012-08-02

From Portland State University link below is the very public denunciation of a student that, at the end of six days confinement in a psych evaluation, was diagnosed as no threat to himself or the community.
http://www.pdx.edu/cpso/threats-of-violence-against-the-psu-community (still posted on line as of November 17, 2012)

The sixth amendment is a guide to due process. Although it is only absolute for criminal charges it is a great tool to evaluate the reasonableness of civil procedures.


"In all criminal prosecutions, the accused shall enjoy the right to a speedy and public trial, by an impartial jury of the State and district wherein the crime shall have been committed, which district shall have been previously ascertained by law, and to be informed of the nature and cause of the accusation; to be confronted with the witnesses against him; to have compulsory process for obtaining witnesses in his favor, and to have the Assistance of Counsel for his defence."

http://www.archives.gov/exhibits/charters/bill_of_rights_transcript.html

The Aurora case and the Henry Liu case are making the rounds of editorial pages because of the number guns that were involved. Not mentioned in prescriptions for tragedy prevention are cases where murderers bought too many box cutters. Or owned a car.
http://eater.com/archives/2012/05/30/man-rams-his-car-into-a-taco-bell-over-a-wrong-order.php
http://chronicle.augusta.com/news/crime-courts/2012-07-07/man-rams-truck-car-carrying-girlfriend
http://www.lehighvalleylive.com/bethlehem/index.ssf/2012/07/bethlehem_man_assaults_girlfri_2.html
http://bangordailynews.com/2012/05/16/news/bangor/carmel-teen-rams-minivan-into-car-filled-with-people-bangor-police-say/